Hello, my name is Reed. I’m a global warming denier. They say admitting it is the first step. Unfortunately, I am not interested in getting “healed.” I have long been a skeptic of the idea that we have anything to do with global climate change, but now it looks like science is catching up with me.
First, let me say that the main reason I’m addressing this now is because of a conversation I had with a close friend of mine last week. (You know who you are!) He voted for Obama and I was asking him how he thought things were going now that we’re $1 trillion in debt. That led to a discussion of the recent cap and trade bill making its way through Congress. (for a detailed discussion on “cap and trade,” see my blog “2008 was the year man-made global warming was disproved.”) He told me he was glad that we were finally doing something about the global warming problem. He believes global warming is “settled science.”
So let me tell you where I stand. First, I’m not convinced the earth is warming. Second, I’m not convinced that if it is warming, people have anything to do with it, or that we could change it even if we’re not causing it. Some of my beliefs are what I consider to be simple common sense and others are science-based. For example, I have read in my history books about an ice age. I wasn’t here when it happened but I believe it did happen. Clearly, now, we are not in an ice age. Right? So what were the man-made devices or activities that substantially warmed the planet? Any suggestions? I presume the earth cooled and warmed on its own. I think that’s reasonable.
Is it reasonable to blame vehicle emissions for global warming? We are told that our vehicles emit gasses which pollute the atmosphere and enhance the “greenhouse effect” which we are told keeps us all warm and toasty in a cold, cruel world. Too much emissions – too much “greenhouse effect.” Thus, global warming. Ok, so cars have been around for a little more than 100 years. No doubt, that’s a lot of emissions. But is there anything in nature which could compare to the amount of emissions the automobile has generated? How about volcanoes? A quick perusal of Wikipedia shows devastating effects on the earth from volcanoes, especially over the last century. According to an article by the Environmental Defense Fund, in 2004, US cars emitted 314 million metric tons of carbon dioxide. Ok, that doesn’t include all the cars on the earth, and it apparently doesn’t include commercial vehicles, but it’s a good place to start.
According to the U.S. Geological Survey, volcanoes account for 130 million tons of carbon dioxide every year. Well, that’s not very comparable to cars, is it. Unless you consider the fact that there have been volcanoes on the earth far longer than there have been cars. In 1991, Mt. Pinatubo erupted in the Phillipines. This was an unusually catastrophic eruption. It was so devastating that the global temperature dropped .5°-.6° C in the northern hemisphere from 1991-1993 (so much for global warming!). This was a result of the volcanic ash that covered over 100 miles, 10 billion tons of magma, and 20 million tons of sulfur dioxide. You know, the same sulfur dioxide that creates the acid rain you’ve heard so much about. Yeah, we didn’t invent it, the earth did!
So here you have all these volcanoes blowing all this gunk into the air for hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands of years. But WE are the biggest polluters on the planet. Whatever. . .
But I’m told that global warming is “settled science” and so far I’ve just given you my opinion. Let’s see what science has to say about it. The general respected authority on the subject is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a United Nations project. (Ok, you just lost me!) Trying to read one of their reports will make your head spin. Trust me. . . I know. I have to say though that it looks like they are making a variety of assumptions. I don’t understand why things are “likely” or “very likely.” It seems they really don’t KNOW anything. They have charts showing global temperatures shooting up dramatically.
In Al Gore’s movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” he called this the “hockey stick.” After 1950, it shoots through the roof. But wait, didn’t we just learn that the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo reduced global temperatures?!? Where’s this in the hockey stick?
According to the CATO Institue, that’s not the only problem with the IPCC’s assertions. We now have some super-sophisticated instrumentation. Apparently, we now have a network of weather balloons, as well as satellite technology which are making their own measurements. The IPCC measured “surface temperatures” and the balloons and satellites measured temps in the lower atmosphere, between 5,000 and 30,000 feet. According to this report, “a distinguished panel of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences concluded there is a real disparity between the reported surface warming and the temperature trends measured in the atmosphere above.” Oh really? Tell me more! “The surface temperature record shows a warming rate of about 0.17 degrees Celsius (0.31 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade since 1979. . .Neither annual satellite nor balloon trends differ significantly from zero since the satellite record started in 1979.” Wow! Did you hear that? No significant difference! Hmmmm. Who’s right? The people at the IPCC who are making estimations and projections or the instruments. It’s a mystery!
But you absolutely have to read this. In an article in the National Post (a Canadian newspaper, you don’t think you’d read this in an American paper do you?), apparently it’s over! Yup, don’t worry, there won’t be any more global warming for another 10 years. Maybe more! (Read that: “We don’t really know, actually!”) A German team of climatologists using the UN super computers (I love the irony) entered data on ocean circulation cycles and voila! No more global warming! Now, of course, they are all trying to back-pedal and say that it is completely expected that there would be a plateau before more exponential growth. But that is a little far-fetched. No one is anticipating this to stop, that’s why they’re scrambling to pass as much legislation as possible before the stink hits the fan and everyone wakes up and realizes it was all just a scam to get us to open our wallets.
For the record, here’s where I stand. This earth is a gift from God and we have an obligation to be good stewards of it. That means we shouldn’t pollute it, nor should we take it for granted. So don’t be disrespectful to the earth. I also believe the earth is far more powerful and self-sufficient than we can ever imagine. It has been here long before us and will be here long after us. The idea that we have any ability to affect it globally is vanity. We can pollute our own areas, like rivers, roads, etc., without affecting all the other places in the world.
The most important point to me is the people who are trying to convince us of this don’t simply want us to agree with them, they want us to change our lifestyles. They are trying to use our good nature to guilt us into giving up some of our freedoms. I find that offensive! Not only that, but you aren’t allowed to disagree with them. I used the term “denier” because that’s what I’ve been called. Now I’m no better than a holocaust denier. There’s something terribly wrong with that. Why should I trust these idiots! Aren’t they the same people who tried to tell us in 1979 that there was a coming ICE AGE!!!
If I am a global warming denier, I’m in good company. 31,000 American scientists have signed a petition stating, “There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth” Still doesn’t sound like “settled science” to me.
Oh and one more thing (you know I’d save the best for last). Remember at the beginning of this when I said the big problem was the “greenhouse gases” trapping heat in the atmosphere? Guess what. That’s factually not true. Most of the global warming alarmists point to carbon dioxide as the big offender. They say the more carbon dioxide we emit into the atmosphere, the warmer the planet is getting. According to a report at scienceandpublicpolicy.org, “In all seven glacial and interglacial cycles, the reported changes in CO2 and CH4 lagged the temperature changes and could not, therefore, have caused them (66).” Did you get that? Global warming CAUSES a rise in CO2, not the other way around! So the entire premise of “greenhouse gases” causing global warming is at best suspect, and at worst a lie!
All I’m trying to say is that the issue is clearly far from settled and the idea that we have to act now is alarmist. I, for one, will not fall in line without some hard evidence.